Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.029667 0.031915 0.034166 0.036588 0.039114 0.041671 0.044449
2025-10-26 0.025767 0.029342 0.033047 0.037159 0.041579 0.046175 0.051302
2025-11-02 0.023070 0.027463 0.032134 0.037441 0.043269 0.049447 0.056461
2025-11-09 0.020890 0.025849 0.031242 0.037489 0.044471 0.051987 0.060638
2025-11-16 0.019170 0.024567 0.030555 0.037610 0.045615 0.054343 0.064507
2025-11-23 0.017586 0.023307 0.029775 0.037516 0.046420 0.056242 0.067795
2025-11-30 0.016220 0.022197 0.029078 0.037434 0.047166 0.058013 0.070888
2025-12-07 0.014787 0.020915 0.028098 0.036949 0.047384 0.059132 0.073197
2025-12-14 0.013499 0.019730 0.027165 0.036455 0.047536 0.060129 0.075329
2025-12-21 0.012066 0.018282 0.025841 0.035431 0.047007 0.060292 0.076458
2025-12-28 0.011549 0.017965 0.025878 0.036023 0.048375 0.062647 0.080113
2026-01-04 0.010870 0.017398 0.025571 0.036168 0.049185 0.064332 0.082978
2026-01-11 0.010076 0.016665 0.025056 0.036074 0.049741 0.065768 0.085620
2026-01-18 0.009597 0.016337 0.025049 0.036611 0.051073 0.068141 0.089396
2026-01-25 0.009050 0.015882 0.024852 0.036888 0.052072 0.070109 0.092688
2026-02-01 0.008455 0.015326 0.024493 0.036936 0.052769 0.071702 0.095528
2026-02-08 0.007933 0.014842 0.024206 0.037056 0.053540 0.073374 0.098457
2026-02-15 0.007372 0.014268 0.023772 0.036963 0.054027 0.074688 0.100948
2026-02-22 0.006856 0.013731 0.023363 0.036881 0.054513 0.075989 0.103416
2026-03-01 0.006246 0.013011 0.022672 0.036401 0.054469 0.076625 0.105066
2026-03-08 0.005678 0.012322 0.021993 0.035912 0.054394 0.077204 0.106634
2026-03-15 0.004997 0.011404 0.020952 0.034897 0.053609 0.076878 0.107077
2026-03-22 0.004820 0.011304 0.021085 0.035484 0.054909 0.079160 0.110726